Denis Shapovalov vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Ugo Humbert have met 6 times since 2019; Denis Shapovalov leads 4–2. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. On hard courts Humbert leads 2–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 8 sets to Humbert's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 35% | 18/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 85% | 28/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 70% | 23/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Humbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Humbert
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Mar 10, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 2nd Round
May 2, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 1st Round
Sep 18, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 16, 2020
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard · Quarterfinals
May 14, 2019
Lyon
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 43% | 3/7 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -42.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -2.99u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Humbert posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Gea | L 36 46 | L 46 63 16 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 67 63 62 | W 63 64 63 |
| Vit Kopriva | W 62 63 | W 63 62 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 76 | W 64 61 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 76 36 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 61 67 57 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | W 61 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | W 75 63 |
| Elias Ymer | W 64 67 61 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Brandon Nakashima
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–56 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 55% |
| Sets won | 52% | 56% |
| Games won | 51% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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