Denis Shapovalov vs Ugo HumbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆDenis Shapovalov
#47 ยท 27 yrs ยท L
6 meetings ยท sets 8โ7

๐ซ๐ทUgo Humbert
#30 ยท 28 yrs ยท L
3Denis Shapovalov and Ugo Humbert have met 6 times since 2019; Denis Shapovalov leads 4โ2. Their first meeting came at Lyon in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Shapovalov leads 3โ0. On hard courts Humbert leads 2โ0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 8 sets to Humbert's 7. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Ugo Humbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 55% | 18/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 61% | 11/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 88% | 28/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Humbert 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Humbert
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2025
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass ยท 1st Round
Mar 10, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
May 2, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 1st Round
Sep 18, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 3rd Round
Jan 16, 2020
ASB Classic - Auckland
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
May 14, 2019
Lyon
C Clay ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Humbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Ugo Humbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 94% | 15/16 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 69% | 11/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ5 | 9โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -11.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -1.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi ยท 2,972 km | 1,200 mi ยท 1,932 km |
| Route | MEX โ USA | USA โ CAN โ USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Humbert's 50%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 61 64 | W 63 64 63 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 61 67 57 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 76 36 46 |
| Rinky Hijikata | W 26 63 62 | W 61 62 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 46 36 |
| Marin Cilic | L 76 46 57 | W 75 63 |
| Elias Ymer | W 64 67 61 | W 64 63 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 76 62 | L 36 16 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | W 64 61 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 36 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon ยท Round of 128
Jun 30
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ben Shelton
Citi Open - Washington ยท 2nd Round
Jul 31
Andres Martin
Citi Open - Washington ยท 1st Round
Jul 28
Zizou Bergs
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Zizou Bergs
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Final
Jun 28
Jack Draper
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Semifinals
Jun 26
Quentin Halys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne ยท Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ55 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 56% |
| Sets won | 43% | 56% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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