Denis Shapovalov vs Novak DjokovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Novak Djokovic have met 8 times since 2019; Novak Djokovic leads 8–0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open in 2019 on hard. On hard courts Djokovic leads 6–0. Djokovic has won the last 8 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Djokovic leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 2 sets to Djokovic's 18. Their most recent meeting: Novak Djokovic won at Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Novak Djokovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 0, Djokovic 5).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Djokovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
8 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2023
Adelaide International 1 - Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 9, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Semifinals
Feb 2, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Jan 10, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 3, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Paris
H Hard · Final
Oct 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
May 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Jan 11, 2019
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Djokovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Novak Djokovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +1.42u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Djokovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | W |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | L 62 26 36 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 75 36 64 | W 76 61 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | W 46 76 62 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | L 67 75 64 26 16 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 36 26 | L 46 46 46 |
| Stefanos Tsitsipas | W 62 36 64 | W 63 64 62 |
| Joao Fonseca | L 75 46 36 | L 64 64 36 57 57 |
| Valentin Royer | W 76 62 | W 63 62 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Hubert Hurkacz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Final
Oct 6
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Alexander Zverev
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Bu Yunchaokete
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Nuno Borges
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 28–45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 71% |
| Sets won | 52% | 63% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Djokovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 6 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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