Denis Shapovalov vs Marin CilicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Marin Cilic have met 7 times since 2018; Marin Cilic leads 4–3. Their first meeting came at Basel in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–2. On grass courts Cilic leads 2–0. Cilic has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 7 sets to Cilic's 10. Their most recent meeting: Marin Cilic won at Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Marin Cilic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 2, Cilic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Cilic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Jun 8, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 22, 2026
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 11, 2021
Mercedes Cup - Stuttgart
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Aug 22, 2020
Western & Southern Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 20, 2020
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard · 2nd Round
Mar 11, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 12, 2018
Basel
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Cilic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Marin Cilic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 4/4 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 1–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -56.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -2.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cilic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Shapovalov's 57%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Sho Shimabukuro | W 75 61 | W 76 61 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 67 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Zachary Svajda | L | L 67 46 |
| Jack Pinnington Jones | W 64 46 76 | W 61 64 |
| Marcos Giron | W 67 60 76 | W 75 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | W 75 63 |
| Casper Ruud | L 36 46 | L 46 46 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Daniel Merida Aguilar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Frances Tiafoe
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Sho Shimabukuro
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daniil Medvedev
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Ugo Humbert
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daniil Medvedev
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 52% | 50% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Cilic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.