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Head-to-Head

Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van AsschePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Denis Shapovalov

🇨🇦Denis Shapovalov

#48 · 27 yrs · L

1–0

1 meeting · sets 3–0

Luca Van Assche

🇫🇷Luca Van Assche

#40 · 22 yrs · R

Title

Denis Shapovalov and Luca Van Assche have met 1 time since 2024; Denis Shapovalov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 3 sets to Assche's 0. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at French Open - Paris (2024).

Upcoming match

Tournament
U.S. Open - New York
Level
Grand Slam
Round
2nd Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
September 2 · 3:05 PM ET

Book odds

Denis Shapovalov1.62
Luca Van Assche2.29

Set spread

Shapovalov -1.52.11
Van Assche +1.51.66

Game spread

Shapovalov +5.51.01
Van Assche -5.51.01
ShapovalovHard-court specialist (72%)Van AsscheHard-court specialist (61%)

Record at prices like this

Denis Shapovalov1.6259% fairWon 57%

Priced around 1.62 or shorter, Denis Shapovalov has won 83 of 145 matches, 57% against a fair-price expectation of 66%.

Luca Van Assche2.2941% fairWon 37%

Priced around 2.29 or longer, Luca Van Assche has won 25 of 68 matches, 37% against a fair-price expectation of 35%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Denis Shapovalov and Luca Van Assche meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on September 2 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorShapovalovVan Assche
Wins in straight sets44%57%
Wins a set when losing28%39%
Goes to a deciding set42%42%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite30%48%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog62%69%
Tiebreak sets won60%43%
Wins after taking set 183%92%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 144%67%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Shapovalov

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies
vs

Assche

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.

Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

1 career meeting, newest first

May 27, 2024

French Open - Paris

C Clay · 1st Round

63
64
64
Shapovalov

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeShapovalovAssche
1 or more100%91%
3 or more82%64%
5 or more73%23%
10 or more9%0%
15 or more9%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricShapovalovAssche
W-L7–515–5
Avg odds1.981.92
ROI %-1.3%+45.5%
Units P/L-0.16u+9.11u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricShapovalovAssche
Countries12
Events24
Matches39
Distance567 mi · 913 km2,195 mi · 3,532 km
RouteUSAUSA → CAN → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Assche has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Shapovalov's 43%).

OpponentShapovalovAssche
Cameron Norrie
W
63
57
64
W
67
62
62
63
Aleksandar Kovacevic
W
64
64
L
16
67
Alexander Blockx
L
46
64
36
W
64
46
75
Pablo Carreno Busta
L
36
67
W
63
46
62
Tallon Griekspoor
W
64
36
62
L
67
46
Alex Molcan
L
46
46
W
64
64
Raphael Collignon
L
46
26
L
46
06

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Shapovalov
WLWLWWWW
W

Miomir Kecmanovic

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

64
46
64
61

Aug 30

L

Rafael Jodar

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

57
64
57

Aug 15

W

Adrian Mannarino

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

61
64

Aug 13

L

Arthur Gea

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final

36
46

Aug 1

W

Cameron Norrie

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals

63
57
64

Jul 31

W

Dalibor Svrcina

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals

64
62

Jul 31

W

Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round

63
62

Jul 30

W

Rinky Hijikata

Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round

26
63
62

Jul 29

Assche
WLWWWWLW
W

Cameron Norrie

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

667
62
62
63

Aug 30

L

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round

16
667

Aug 25

W

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Quebec City Challenger · Final

61
64

Aug 23

W

Hugo Gaston

Quebec City Challenger · Semifinals

64
64

Aug 22

W

Benjamin Bonzi

Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals

762
75

Aug 21

W

Rei Sakamoto

Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round

46
64
763

Aug 20

L

Yannick Hanfmann

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round

26
46

Aug 14

W

Dusan Lajovic

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying

765
26
63

Aug 12

Matchup videos

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–72 matches

MetricShapovalovAssche
Matches won49%67%
Sets won45%61%
Games won50%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageShapovalovAssche
Grand Slam10

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceShapovalovAssche
Clay10

Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche FAQ

Denis Shapovalov leads the head-to-head 1–0 over 1 meetings.