Denis Shapovalov vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2022; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2022 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 38% | 14/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 26, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, ITA-CAN 1-2
H Hard · Rubber 1
May 9, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 92% | 11/12 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 4–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -42.4% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -5.09u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 3,172 mi · 5,105 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Sonego's 40%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 67 63 62 | W 61 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 76 | L 67 57 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 46 | L 57 36 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | W 64 46 64 61 | L 62 67 46 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | L 67 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | W 76 26 64 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 67 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Aziz Dougaz
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Kamil Majchrzak
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
James Duckworth
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Francesco Passaro
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Alexander Zverev
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 44% |
| Sets won | 52% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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