Denis Shapovalov vs Lorenzo SonegoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Lorenzo Sonego have met 3 times since 2022; Denis Shapovalov leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2022 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 5 sets to Sonego's 3. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 36% | 13/36 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 53% | 9/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Sonego 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Sonego
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 2, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 1st Round
Nov 26, 2022
Davis Cup, Finals, SF, ITA-CAN 1-2
H Hard · Rubber 1
May 9, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Sonego | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Lorenzo Sonego | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -18.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -2.92u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Sonego's 50%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Adrian Mannarino | W 61 64 | W 61 76 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 36 62 | L 67 57 |
| Cameron Norrie | W 63 57 64 | L 64 26 46 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | L 67 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | W 64 64 67 76 |
| Mariano Navone | L 46 26 | W 76 26 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 64 46 67 | L 57 36 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 67 46 |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | W 76 61 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 57 36 | W 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
James Duckworth
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 27
Adrian Mannarino
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Juncheng Shang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tallon Griekspoor
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Raphael Collignon
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Joel Schwaerzler
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–43 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 47% |
| Sets won | 43% | 46% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Sonego |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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