Denis Shapovalov vs Karen KhachanovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Karen Khachanov have met 1 time since 2021; Denis Shapovalov leads 1–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 3 sets to Khachanov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Wimbledon - London (2021).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- November 2 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.42 or longer, Denis Shapovalov has won 7 of 28 (25%). The price implied 33%, so Denis Shapovalov has fallen 8 points short of it.
At 1.51 or shorter, Karen Khachanov has won 118 of 157 (75%). The price implied 70%, so Karen Khachanov has beaten it by 5 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Denis Shapovalov and Karen Khachanov meet next at the Rolex Paris Masters - Paris on November 2 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Karen Khachanov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 10/19 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 5/16 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 14/35 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 39% | 9/23 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 6/9 | 27% | 6/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 10/19 | 47% | 8/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Khachanov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,700 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 7, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Khachanov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Karen Khachanov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 86% | 12/14 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 5% | 1/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 10–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.07 |
| ROI % | -8.9% | +2.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.34u | +0.34u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 5 |
| Matches | 5 | 9 |
| Distance | 6,226 mi · 10,019 km | 6,723 mi · 10,820 km |
| Route | JPN → SUI → FRA | CHN → KAZ → AUT → FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Khachanov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Shapovalov's 22%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | L 46 67 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 16 | L 36 46 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 67 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Hubert Hurkacz | L 76 36 36 | L 67 26 |
| Alex Molcan | L 46 46 | W 75 63 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 46 64 36 | W |
| Aleksandar Kovacevic | W 64 64 | L 75 36 67 |
| Arthur Gea | L 36 46 | W 63 76 60 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 57 36 | W 57 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Taylor Fritz
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Remy Bertola
Swiss Indoors Basel - Basel · 1st Round
Oct 28
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Carlos Alcaraz
Erste Bank Open - Vienna · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alexander Bublik
Almaty Open - Almaty · Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Tomas Machac
Almaty Open - Almaty · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Rei Sakamoto
Almaty Open - Almaty · 1st Round
Oct 20
Alex de Minaur
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 4th Round
Oct 13
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Arthur Fery
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Hubert Hurkacz
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–49 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 53% |
| Sets won | 51% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Khachanov |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 1 | 0 |