Denis Shapovalov vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Ilya Ivashka have met 4 times since 2018; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 7 sets to Ivashka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 41% | 18/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 57% | 17/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 97% | 28/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Ivashka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Ivashka
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Denis Shapovalov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2022
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 15, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 13, 2018
Shenzhen
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 50% | 8/16 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 15–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Shapovalov and Ivashka posted a 0% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | L 16 75 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Kaichi Uchida
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Beibit Zhukayev
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Bernard Tomic
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ilia Simakin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 71% |
| Sets won | 52% | 64% |
| Games won | 51% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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