Denis Shapovalov vs Ilya IvashkaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Ilya Ivashka have met 4 times since 2018; Denis Shapovalov leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Shenzhen in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Shapovalov leads 3–0. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 7 sets to Ivashka's 4. Their most recent meeting: Ilya Ivashka won at Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 8/18 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 5/18 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 15/36 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 7/23 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 6/10 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 94% | 17/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 44% | 8/18 | 61% | 11/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Ivashka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Ivashka
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
May 18, 2022
Gonet Geneva Open - Geneva
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 27, 2021
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 15, 2020
St. Petersburg Open - St. Petersburg
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 13, 2018
Shenzhen
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Ivashka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Ilya Ivashka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.45 |
| ROI % | -7.8% | -30.6% |
| Units P/L | -0.86u | -2.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,847 mi · 2,972 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | MEX → USA | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Shapovalov and Ivashka posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Bu Yunchaokete | W 63 76 61 | W 61 62 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | L 26 16 | L 16 75 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Adrian Mannarino
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Gea
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Final
Aug 1
Cameron Norrie
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Semifinals
Jul 31
Dalibor Svrcina
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rinky Hijikata
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Pablo Carreno Busta
Wimbledon · Round of 128
Jun 30
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Ergi Kirkin
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gonzalo Villanueva
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Chris Rodesch
Pozoblanco Challenger · Final
Jul 19
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Dan Added
Pozoblanco Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Aziz Ouakaa
Pozoblanco Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Iliyan Radulov
Pozoblanco challenger
Jul 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–39 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 61% |
| Sets won | 43% | 58% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Ivashka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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