Denis Shapovalov vs Grigor DimitrovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Denis Shapovalov and Grigor Dimitrov have met 4 times since 2016; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Canada in 2016 on hard. On hard courts Dimitrov leads 2–1. Shapovalov has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Shapovalov has taken 4 sets to Dimitrov's 5. Their most recent meeting: Denis Shapovalov won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Shapovalov | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Denis Shapovalov | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 6/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 18/39 | 33% | 9/27 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 35% | 9/26 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 45% | 10/22 | 57% | 8/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Shapovalov 1, Dimitrov 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Dimitrov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 19, 2020
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Feb 10, 2020
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 13, 2016
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Shapovalov | Dimitrov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Denis Shapovalov | Grigor Dimitrov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 10 or more | 41% | 7/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–5 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.39 |
| ROI % | +12.3% | -50.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.09u | -3.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Shapovalov | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 2,080 mi · 3,347 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shapovalov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Dimitrov's 29%).
| Opponent | Shapovalov | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | L | L 26 36 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 64 62 | W 76 16 64 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 36 67 | W 63 62 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | W 57 64 63 | L 36 36 |
| Jaime Faria | L 46 57 46 | L 63 57 67 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 26 76 | L 46 62 36 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 46 26 | L 67 64 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carlos Alcaraz
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Sho Shimabukuro
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hubert Hurkacz
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Adrian Mannarino
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Vit Kopriva
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Tallon Griekspoor
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Holger Rune
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Elmer Moller
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, DEN-BUL 3-2 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Alexei Popyrin
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Timofey Skatov
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lorenzo Giustino
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–45 matches
| Metric | Shapovalov | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 42% |
| Sets won | 52% | 46% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Shapovalov | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Shapovalov | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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