Daria Kasatkina vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 9–12
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#10 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
4wDaria Kasatkina and Marta Kostyuk have met 9 times since 2020; Marta Kostyuk leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. On clay courts Kostyuk leads 3–0. On grass courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 9 sets to Kostyuk's 12. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 30% | 14/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 91% | 30/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Kostyuk 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,583 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 17, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 26, 2023
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 17, 2021
Birmingham Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 22, 2021
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 21, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 8–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | -11.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | -1.41u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | UKR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Kasatkina's 22%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | W 46 76 64 | W 64 63 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | L 64 26 57 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 63 16 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 36 46 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | W 67 63 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 46 36 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 62 16 61 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 60 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 4th Round
Sep 6
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Sloane Stephens
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Storm Hunter
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–46 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 78% |
| Sets won | 51% | 72% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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