Daria Kasatkina vs Marta KostyukPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
9 meetings · sets 9–12
🇺🇦Marta Kostyuk
#11 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Marta Kostyuk have met 9 times since 2020; Marta Kostyuk leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 2–2. On clay courts Kostyuk leads 3–0. On grass courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Kostyuk has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 9 sets to Kostyuk's 12. Their most recent meeting: Marta Kostyuk won at Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 73% | 27/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 10/19 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 16/34 | 31% | 15/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 62% | 21/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 6/9 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 91% | 31/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 79% | 27/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Kostyuk 4).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Kostyuk
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 56% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 6,005 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Marta Kostyuk.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Jul 31, 2025
Omnium Banque Nationale - Montreal
H Hard · 3rd Round
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jun 17, 2024
Berlin Ladies Open - Berlin
G Grass · 1st Round
Jan 3, 2024
Brisbane International - Brisbane
H Hard · 2nd Round
Sep 26, 2023
Toray Pan Pacific Open - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 17, 2021
Birmingham Classic - Birmingham
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 22, 2021
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 21, 2021
Istanbul Open - Istanbul
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Kostyuk | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Marta Kostyuk | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 60% | 9/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 1.55 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | +3.3% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | +0.49u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kostyuk has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Kasatkina's 0%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 63 16 26 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 36 46 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | W 67 63 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 57 | L 46 36 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 62 63 |
| Anastasia Potapova | L 57 64 46 | W 62 16 61 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 60 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Mirra Andreeva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Sloane Stephens
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Sofia Kenin
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Iga Swiatek
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Madison Keys
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Katherine Sebov
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Linda Noskova
Wimbledon - London · Semifinals
Jul 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–48 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 77% |
| Sets won | 48% | 71% |
| Games won | 50% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 2 |
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 2 | 0 |
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