Daria Kasatkina vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 8–5
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2018; Daria Kasatkina leads 4–1. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2018 on clay. On clay courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. On hard courts Kasatkina leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 8 sets to Sakkari's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 1, Sakkari 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Maria Sakkari.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jan 12, 2026
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 17, 2022
bett1open - Berlin
G Grass · Quarterfinals
May 1, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 2nd Round
Aug 8, 2018
Montreal
H Hard · Round of 64
May 30, 2018
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -1.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Sakkari has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kasatkina's 20%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 64 16 16 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | W 63 62 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 46 16 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | W 64 62 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–43 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 47% |
| Games won | 49% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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