🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#53 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
12 meetings · sets 5–22
🇺🇸Madison Keys
#19 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Madison Keys have met 12 times since 2016; Madison Keys leads 10–2. Their most recent meeting: Madison Keys won at Adelaide (2025).
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Keys
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 5,134 matches in our dataset — a stylistic lean toward Madison Keys.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
12 career meetings, newest first
Jan 6, 2025
Adelaide
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 26, 2023
Eastbourne
G Grass · Final
Apr 3, 2023
Charleston
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 10, 2022
San Diego
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 3, 2022
Melbourne 2
H Hard · Round of 16
Jan 20, 2020
Australian Open
H Hard · Round of 128
Sep 16, 2019
Osaka
H Hard · Round of 32
Aug 12, 2019
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 29, 2018
Zhuhai
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 14, 2017
Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 32
Sep 26, 2016
Wuhan
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 8, 2016
Olympics
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Keys | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Madison Keys | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 6/6 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/6 |
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 12–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.68 | 2.14 |
| ROI % | -34.1% | +79.6% |
| Units P/L | -5.11u | +11.94u |
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Keys has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Kasatkina's 44%).
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Aryna Sabalenka | L | L 36 36 |
| Peyton Stearns | W 61 63 | W 46 64 62 |
| Anastasia Zakharova | W | W |
| Caty Mcnally | L 26 36 | W 26 63 63 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 67 60 36 | L 36 61 46 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 61 | W 60 63 |
| Sonay Kartal | L 36 06 | L 62 26 36 |
| Laura Siegemund | W 62 63 | W 62 61 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 75 16 16 | L 16 26 |
Last five matches per player
Anna Blinkova
Nottingham ·
Jun 13
Robin Montgomery
Hertogenbosch ·
Jun 8
Aryna Sabalenka
French Open ·
May 30
Susan Bandecchi
French Open ·
May 28
Aryna Sabalenka
Roland Garros · Round of 32
May 25
Zeynep Sonmez
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Susan Bandecchi
Roland Garros · Round of 64
May 25
Zeynep Sonmez
French Open ·
May 25
Karolina Muchova
Berlin ·
Jun 18
Diana Shnaider
French Open ·
Jun 1
Victoria Mboko
French Open ·
May 30
Antonia Ruzic
French Open ·
May 28
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Hanne Vandewinkel
French Open ·
May 26
Diana Shnaider
Roland Garros · Round of 16
May 25
Hanne Vandewinkel
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 25
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–37 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 45% | 62% |
| Sets won | 51% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA Finals | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 3 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 3 |
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 9 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
