Daria Kasatkina vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#59 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#32 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Daria Kasatkina and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2022; Daria Kasatkina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2022 on clay. Kasatkina has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasatkina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 6 sets to Fernandez's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 9/15 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 49% | 17/35 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 70% | 7/10 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 4/12 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 73% | 11/15 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 60% | 9/15 | 61% | 17/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fernandez
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Final
Oct 11, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 91% | 10/11 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 55% | 6/11 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 27% | 3/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.44 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | -51.7% | -8.7% |
| Units P/L | -5.17u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 4 |
| Distance | 411 mi · 662 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Fernandez posted a 30% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | L 46 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | L 16 67 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 57 75 63 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 63 62 |
| Katerina Siniakova | L 67 26 | L 75 46 67 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Anna Kalinskaya
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Naomi Osaka
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Mingge Xu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Mccartney Kessler
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 22
Xiyu Wang
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 17
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 10
Mirra Andreeva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Renata Zarazua
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Alexandra Eala
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Magda Linette
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Janice Tjen
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Xi Yao Wang
Bad Homburg Open - Bad Homburg · 2nd Round
Jun 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–51 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 49% |
| Sets won | 47% | 49% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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