Daria Kasatkina vs Leylah FernandezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇦🇺Daria Kasatkina
#82 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 6–1
🇨🇦Leylah Fernandez
#25 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
TitleDaria Kasatkina and Leylah Fernandez have met 3 times since 2022; Daria Kasatkina leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome in 2022 on clay. Kasatkina has won the last 3 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kasatkina leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Kasatkina has taken 6 sets to Fernandez's 1. Their most recent meeting: Daria Kasatkina won at Rothesay International - Eastbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kasatkina | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daria Kasatkina | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 11/20 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 51% | 21/41 | 31% | 18/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 9/29 | 50% | 20/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 5/14 | 29% | 5/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kasatkina 2, Fernandez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kasatkina
🪃 Counterpuncher
Fernandez
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,089 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2024
Rothesay International - Eastbourne
G Grass · Final
Oct 11, 2022
San Diego Open - San Diego
H Hard · 1st Round
May 11, 2022
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kasatkina | Fernandez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daria Kasatkina | Leylah Fernandez | ||
| 1 or more | 78% | 7/9 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.20 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -31.7% | +32.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.49u | +5.15u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 7 |
| Distance | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km | 3,433 mi · 5,525 km |
| Route | SGP → ROU → CZE | SGP → ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Kasatkina and Fernandez posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 62 67 36 | L 46 67 |
| Naomi Osaka | L 16 36 | L 46 46 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 36 75 46 | L 76 46 67 |
| Janice Tjen | W 67 61 64 | L 16 67 |
| Mccartney Kessler | L 36 67 | L 36 26 |
| Anna Blinkova | L 36 26 | L 67 46 |
| Liudmila Samsonova | W 75 63 | W 57 75 63 |
| Ann Li | L 76 26 46 | W 63 62 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 76 64 | W 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Viktorija Golubic
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Paula Badosa
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Paula Badosa
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Zeynep Sonmez
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Elena Rybakina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Xinyu Wang
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Kamilla Rakhimova
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Talia Gibson
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Final
Sep 27
Maja Chwalinska
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Semifinals
Sep 26
Mirra Andreeva
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Alycia Parks
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Kyoka Okamura
Singapore Tennis Open - Singapore · 1st Round
Sep 21
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–58 matches
| Metric | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 55% |
| Sets won | 51% | 54% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kasatkina | Fernandez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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