Danka Kovinic vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇪Danka Kovinic
#868 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
8w2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Danka Kovinic and Jasmine Paolini have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw in 2022 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Kovinic has taken 2 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Danka Kovinic won at Parma Ladies Open - Parma (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovinic | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danka Kovinic | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovinic 1, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovinic
💥 Big Hitter
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,247 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 29, 2022
Parma Ladies Open - Parma
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 26, 2022
BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0–1 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sofya Lansere
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 19
Martha Matoula
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Julia Riera
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Noemi Basiletti
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lisa Pigato
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Marie Vogt
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Tena Lukas
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 16
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–39 matches
| Metric | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 51% |
| Sets won | 30% | 48% |
| Games won | 42% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovinic | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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