Danka Kovinic vs Maria SakkariPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇲🇪Danka Kovinic
#883 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed
5 meetings · sets 4–8
🇬🇷Maria Sakkari
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Danka Kovinic and Maria Sakkari have met 5 times since 2016; Maria Sakkari leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Istanbul in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Sakkari leads 3–1. Sakkari has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kovinic has taken 4 sets to Sakkari's 8. Their most recent meeting: Maria Sakkari won at Olympics - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovinic | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Danka Kovinic | Maria Sakkari | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 33% | 1/3 | 62% | 13/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 1/7 | 23% | 5/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 30% | 13/43 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 11/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 3/4 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 25% | 1/4 | 59% | 13/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovinic 0, Sakkari 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovinic
💥 Big Hitter
Sakkari
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay · 1st Round
Oct 1, 2022
Parma Ladies Open - Parma
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 3, 2018
Shenzhen
H Hard · Round of 32
Apr 26, 2017
Istanbul
C Clay · Round of 32
Apr 22, 2016
Istanbul
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kovinic | Sakkari | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Danka Kovinic | Maria Sakkari | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 86% | 12/14 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 64% | 9/14 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 43% | 6/14 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 7% | 1/14 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/14 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.71 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | -8.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.53u | -1.25u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovinic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | — | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | FRA | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martha Matoula
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 12
Julia Riera
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Noemi Basiletti
ATV Bancomat Tennis Open - Rome · 1st Round
Jul 14
Lisa Pigato
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · 1st Round
Jul 1
Marie Vogt
Vaihingen ITF
Jun 30
Tena Lukas
Vaihingen ITF
Jun 29
Miriam Bianca Bulgaru
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia · 1st Round
Jun 16
Xiyu Wang
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Kamilla Rakhimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Zeynep Sonmez
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Barbora Krejcikova
Athens Open - Athens · Final
Jul 19
Alina Korneeva
Athens Open - Athens · Semifinals
Jul 18
Alycia Parks
Athens Open - Athens · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Harriet Dart
Athens Open - Athens · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–43 matches
| Metric | Kovinic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 49% |
| Sets won | 30% | 47% |
| Games won | 42% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovinic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 2 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovinic | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 3 |
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