Daniil Medvedev vs Yunchaokete BuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Yunchaokete Bu have met 1 time since 2025; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 2 sets to Bu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 70% | 16/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Bu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Bu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 7, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Round of 64
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Bu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Yunchaokete Bu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 1–0 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +120.0% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Bu's 33%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 62 60 |
| Nishesh Basavareddy | W 62 63 | L 67 36 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 64 64 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Hugo Dellien
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Clement Tabur
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Chris Rodesch
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Otto Virtanen
Lexus Birmingham Open · Final
Jun 7
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open · Semifinals
Jun 6
Mark Lajal
Lexus Birmingham Open · Quarterfinals
Jun 5
Billy Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Lloyd Harris
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 64% |
| Sets won | 65% | 61% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Bu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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