Daniil Medvedev vs Yibing WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu have met 3 times since 2022; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Wu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yibing Wu won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Yibing Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 77% | 17/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 27% | 4/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 24% | 9/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 42% | 10/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 95% | 19/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 85% | 17/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Wu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Wu
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yibing Wu.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Yibing Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 2.32 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | -68.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | -5.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Wu's 60%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | W 75 61 |
| Thijs Boogaard | W 63 46 76 | L 36 62 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 64 62 |
| Nuno Borges | W 64 67 62 | W 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Bu Yunchaokete
Lincoln Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Christian Langmo
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Patrick Maloney
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Pavle Marinkov
Lincoln challenger
Jul 13
Stefan Kozlov
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Remy Bertola
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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