Daniil Medvedev vs Yibing WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Yibing Wu have met 3 times since 2022; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 6 sets to Wu's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yibing Wu won at Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Yibing Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 17% | 7/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 96% | 24/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 84% | 21/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Wu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Wu
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yibing Wu.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2025
Citi Open - Washington
H Hard · 3rd Round
Sep 2, 2022
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Yibing Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 3.28 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -22.6% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Wu's 40%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | L 62 36 67 | L 46 67 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | L 46 75 46 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | L 63 26 16 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | W 63 76 | L 36 46 16 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | W 75 63 61 |
| Adam Walton | L 26 61 16 61 46 | W 76 62 75 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 67 63 61 | W 75 61 |
| Thijs Boogaard | W 63 46 76 | L 36 62 46 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 36 75 46 | L 46 46 46 |
| Fabian Marozsan | W 62 67 64 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Alexander Zverev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Mackenzie McDonald
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 57% |
| Sets won | 66% | 57% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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