Daniil Medvedev vs Sebastian GorznyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Gorzny have met 1 time since 2026; Daniil Medvedev leads 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 3 sets to Gorzny's 0. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Gorzny
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Gorzny.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Gorzny | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Sebastian Gorzny | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 67% | 10/15 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 11–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.94 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +47.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +8.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 465 mi · 748 km |
| Route | CHN | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Tristan Boyer
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Mitchell Krueger
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Aidan Mayo
San Diego 2 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Andrew Johnson
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
J.J. Wolf
Tiburon Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Nishesh Basavareddy
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Daniil Medvedev
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 34–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 53% |
| Sets won | 66% | 51% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Gorzny |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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