Daniil Medvedev vs Pierre-Hugues HerbertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#6 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Title5 meetings ยท sets 8โ7

๐ซ๐ทPierre-Hugues Herbert
#296 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
3Daniil Medvedev and Pierre-Hugues Herbert have met 5 times since 2015; Daniil Medvedev leads 3โ2. Their first meeting came at Marseille in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3โ1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Medvedev leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 8 sets to Herbert's 7. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Open 13 Provence - Marseille (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Herbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 39% | 15/38 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 39% | 7/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Herbert 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Herbert
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 13, 2025
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Mar 14, 2021
Open 13 Provence - Marseille
H Hard ยท Final
May 28, 2019
Roland Garros
C Clay ยท Round of 128
Feb 10, 2018
Rotterdam
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Feb 2, 2015
Marseille
H Hard ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Herbert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Pierre-Hugues Herbert | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 50% | 1/2 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/2 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/2 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | 1โ4 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | -57.2% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | -2.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi ยท 2,191 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Herbert's 20%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Valentin Royer | W 76 63 | L 06 36 |
| Hugo Gaston | W 64 62 64 | W 75 62 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | L 67 64 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | L 75 36 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 28
Lorenzo Sonego
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Quinn Vandecasteele
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Kenta Miyoshi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 22
Sandro Kopp
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 18
Thiago Monteiro
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 11
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Paul Jubb
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 44% |
| Sets won | 66% | 46% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Herbert |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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