Daniil Medvedev vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Kei Nishikori have met 5 times since 2018; Daniil Medvedev leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo in 2018 on clay. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. 2 of their meetings have been finals, split 1–1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 7 sets to Nishikori's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at ATP Cup - Melbourne (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 2, Nishikori 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 179 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kei Nishikori.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Feb 3, 2021
ATP Cup - Melbourne
H Hard · Round Robin
Apr 24, 2019
Barcelona
C Clay · Semifinals
Jan 6, 2019
Brisbane
H Hard · Final
Oct 7, 2018
Tokyo
H Hard · Final
Apr 9, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Nishikori's 33%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | W 61 63 | W 67 63 64 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 63 62 | L 63 46 26 |
| Yibing Wu | L 75 67 46 | L 36 63 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 54% |
| Games won | 55% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 1 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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