Daniil Medvedev vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz have met 6 times since 2021; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–1. On grass courts Hurkacz leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Hurkacz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 9 sets to Hurkacz's 11. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 44% | 20/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 79% | 23/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 59% | 17/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Hurkacz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 24, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 19, 2022
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Mar 31, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 14, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 13, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 100% | 23/23 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 83% | 19/23 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 26% | 6/23 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 18–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +21.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +4.85u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 9 | 12 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hurkacz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Medvedev's 50%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 46 64 63 | L 63 76 67 57 24 |
| Novak Djokovic | L | W 64 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 67 63 62 | W 63 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 46 06 36 | W 57 63 64 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 75 64 | W 63 62 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 75 64 | W 64 63 |
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | W 46 63 64 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 67 46 67 | L 76 67 46 76 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 46 60 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 63 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 11
Novak Djokovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
James Duckworth
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Alex de Minaur
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Karen Khachanov
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Arthur Gea
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Learner Tien
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final
Sep 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 64% |
| Sets won | 66% | 60% |
| Games won | 56% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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