Daniil Medvedev vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Hubert Hurkacz have met 6 times since 2021; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Medvedev leads 3–1. On grass courts Hurkacz leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Hurkacz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 9 sets to Hurkacz's 11. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 29/41 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 53% | 9/17 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 21/58 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 49% | 25/51 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 9/24 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 35/39 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 29/39 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 0, Hurkacz 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Hurkacz
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jan 24, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jun 19, 2022
Noventi Open - Halle
G Grass · Final
Mar 31, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Nov 14, 2021
Nitto ATP Finals - Turin
H Hard · Round Robin
Aug 13, 2021
Rogers Cup - Toronto
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 6, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 4th Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 13/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 77% | 10/13 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 10 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 15 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 11–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.26 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | -39.7% | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | -4.76u | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 9 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Medvedev and Hurkacz posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Damm | L 57 36 | L 67 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 64 60 | W 46 60 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | L 36 67 | L 63 67 57 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | W 64 76 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | L 67 67 57 | L 63 76 67 57 24 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | L 63 36 57 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 62 63 | L 63 67 67 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 36 26 | L 76 67 46 76 46 |
| Jaume Munar | W 61 63 | W 63 63 26 63 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | W 46 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Martin Damm
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Brandon Nakashima
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jan-Lennard Struff
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Daniel Merida
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Marin Cilic
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Daniel Altmaier
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–66 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 70% | 57% |
| Sets won | 65% | 57% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour Finals | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 2 |
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