Daniil Medvedev vs Fabio FogniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniil Medvedev and Fabio Fognini have met 6 times since 2017; Daniil Medvedev leads 5–1. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 4–1. Medvedev has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 10 sets to Fognini's 6. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Olympics - Tokyo (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Fognini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Fabio Fognini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Fognini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Fognini
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
6 career meetings, newest first
Jul 28, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 3rd Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Round of 16
Jan 3, 2020
ATP Cup - Brisbane, Perth, Sydney
H Hard · Round Robin
Oct 10, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 12, 2018
Sydney
H Hard · Semifinals
Aug 5, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Cincinnati
H Hard · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | - |
| ROI % | -15.1% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 9 | — |
| Distance | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger · 2nd Round
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin Challenger · 1st Round
May 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 0% |
| Sets won | 66% | 0% |
| Games won | 56% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Cup | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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