Daniil Medvedev vs Dusan LajovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐บDaniil Medvedev
#6 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
Title4 meetings ยท sets 5โ5

๐ท๐ธDusan Lajovic
#148 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
4wDaniil Medvedev and Dusan Lajovic have met 4 times since 2018; they are level 2โ2. Their first meeting came at Moscow in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2โ1. Across all meetings Medvedev has taken 5 sets to Lajovic's 5. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Medvedev | Lajovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniil Medvedev | Dusan Lajovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 28/41 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 7/15 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 20/56 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 51% | 25/49 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 2/4 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 9/23 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 34/36 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 28/36 | 67% | 20/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Medvedev 1, Lajovic 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Medvedev
๐ The Complete Package
Lajovic
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dusan Lajovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Mar 3, 2021
ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Apr 18, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo
C Clay ยท Semifinals
Oct 12, 2018
Moscow
H Hard ยท Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Medvedev | Lajovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniil Medvedev | Dusan Lajovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 88% | 15/17 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ5 | 10โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | -15.1% | +16.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +2.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Medvedev | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 9 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,361 mi ยท 2,191 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | CHN | POL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Lajovic's 43%).
| Opponent | Medvedev | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | W 63 67 63 | L 46 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 16 64 75 | W 60 64 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 64 64 64 | L 36 26 |
| Daniel Altmaier | L 46 76 46 | W 36 75 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 64 62 | L 64 57 46 |
| Lorenzo Sonego | W 36 76 64 | W 63 76 |
| Matteo Berrettini | L 06 06 | L 63 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger ยท Final
Sep 13
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Martin Landaluce
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
David Jorda Sanchis
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 58โ68 matches
| Metric | Medvedev | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 72% | 50% |
| Sets won | 66% | 50% |
| Games won | 56% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Medvedev | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Medvedev | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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