Daniel Evans vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Sardegna Open - Cagliari in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Musetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Evans has taken 1 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 2/2 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 2/8 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 0% | 0/1 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 3/6 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🏹 Frontrunner
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 19, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2021
Sardegna Open - Cagliari
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.50 |
| ROI % | - | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.16u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Rei Sakamoto
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 12
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 8–43 matches
| Metric | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 25% | 60% |
| Sets won | 33% | 59% |
| Games won | 44% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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