Daniel Evans vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Evans and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2021; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Sardegna Open - Cagliari in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Musetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Evans has taken 1 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Evans | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Evans | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 4/5 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 3/10 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 2/3 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Evans 0, Musetti 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Evans
🎾 All-Court
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 222 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 15, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 19, 2022
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Apr 8, 2021
Sardegna Open - Cagliari
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Evans | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Evans | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 3/3 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 2/3 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 1/3 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/3 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -47.5% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.90u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Tristan Schoolkate
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Marcos Giron
HSBC Championships · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Charles Broom
Lexus Ilkley Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 8
James Watt
Lexus Ilkley Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Bruno Kuzuhara
UAMS Health Little Rock Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24
Daniel Jade
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Oliver Crawford
Guangzhou Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–51 matches
| Metric | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 65% |
| Sets won | 52% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Evans | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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