Daniel Elahi Galan vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Elahi Galan and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2020; Sebastian Baez leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Baez leads 2–0. Baez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Galan has taken 4 sets to Baez's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 61% | 14/23 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 11/25 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 20/48 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 3/11 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 14/18 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 17/24 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🏹 Frontrunner
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 210 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 21, 2023
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Dec 3, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 68% | 13/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 32% | 6/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 16% | 3/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–5 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | +7.1% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -2.95u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 910 mi · 1,465 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | POL → BUL | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Galan's 0%).
| Opponent | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | L 06 36 | W 62 76 |
| Hugo Grenier | L | W 75 76 |
| Max Dahlin | L 67 63 57 | W 46 64 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Calvin Hemery
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Marko Topo
Tulln Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–65 matches
| Metric | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 54% |
| Sets won | 49% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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