Daniel Elahi Galan vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Daniel Elahi Galan and Sebastian Baez have met 4 times since 2020; Sebastian Baez leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Campinas Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Baez leads 2–0. Baez has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Galan has taken 4 sets to Baez's 8. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Elahi Galan | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Daniel Elahi Galan | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 18/46 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 3/9 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 92% | 12/13 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 11/24 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Elahi Galan 0, Baez 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Galan
🎾 All-Court
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Daniel Elahi Galan and Sebastian Baez are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 186 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 17, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 21, 2023
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 18, 2021
Concepcion Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Dec 3, 2020
Campinas Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Galan | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Daniel Elahi Galan | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 95% | 18/19 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–3 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | +34.3% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | +4.45u | +1.76u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 4 |
| Matches | 3 | 9 |
| Distance | 604 mi · 972 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | GER → ITA | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Galan's 50%).
| Opponent | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Max Dahlin | L 67 63 57 | W 46 64 61 |
| Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | W 67 64 76 | W 62 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Federico Agustin Gomez
Todi Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Murkel Dellien
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Unknown Player
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Dahlin
Bonn Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pavel Kotov
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Tampere Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Kimmer Coppejans
Bunschoten Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–64 matches
| Metric | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 46% | 55% |
| Sets won | 46% | 53% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Galan | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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