Dalibor Svrcina vs Daniil MedvedevPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Dalibor Svrcina and Daniil Medvedev have met 2 times since 2025; Daniil Medvedev leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at National Bank Open - Toronto in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Medvedev leads 2–0. Medvedev has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Svrcina has taken 0 sets to Medvedev's 4. Their most recent meeting: Daniil Medvedev won at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
- Level
- ATP Masters 1000
- Round
- 3rd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 12 · 5:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.12 or shorter, Daniil Medvedev has won 113 of 122 (93%). That is level with the 91% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Daniil Medvedev meets Dalibor Svrcina in the 3rd Round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters on October 12 on hard court. Medvedev, ranked 6th, has won four straight matches and taken 4 of his last 5. Svrcina, ranked 126th, has won four in a row and taken 7 of his last 10.
The head-to-head stands 2-0 to Medvedev, though recent results against common opponents show mixed signals. Medvedev defeated Daniel Merida Aguilar and Stan Wawrinka while falling to Adam Walton and Jannik Sinner. Svrcina beat both Walton and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer but lost to Merida Aguilar, Wawrinka, and Sinner.
Medvedev's all-court game and baseline consistency have produced a 13-7 hard court record in his recent sample. Svrcina brings heavy ball-striking and relentless court positioning, posting a 12-8 hard court mark. Medvedev will need to establish control from the baseline and dictate points early. Svrcina will seek to shorten rallies and force errors through sustained physical pressure.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Svrcina | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Dalibor Svrcina | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 23/32 | 68% | 28/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 13/26 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 36% | 20/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 19/38 | 51% | 25/49 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 8/14 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 10/23 | 39% | 9/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 25/33 | 94% | 34/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 23/33 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Svrcina 0, Medvedev 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Svrcina
⚔️ The Gladiator
Medvedev
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Daniil Medvedev.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Oct 4, 2025
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2025
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Svrcina | Medvedev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Dalibor Svrcina | Daniil Medvedev | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 81% | 13/16 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 5 or more | 38% | 6/16 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/16 | 82% | 14/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 24% | 4/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 12% | 2/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Svrcina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–7 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.80 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +5.9% | -15.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.06u | -2.42u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Svrcina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 9 |
| Distance | 927 mi · 1,492 km | 1,361 mi · 2,191 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Medvedev has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Svrcina's 50%).
| Opponent | Svrcina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 63 36 75 | W 63 64 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 63 57 57 62 | W 76 63 |
| Stan Wawrinka | L 67 67 | W 62 63 |
| Adam Walton | W 67 76 63 | L 26 61 16 61 46 |
| Daniel Merida Aguilar | L 76 46 67 | W 36 63 75 62 |
| Learner Tien | L 16 46 76 36 | L 46 06 36 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 16 | L 26 75 46 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 64 62 | W 63 62 |
| Flavio Cobolli | L 46 46 | L 36 75 46 |
| James Duckworth | W 62 64 | W 67 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Cameron Norrie
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Yoshihito Nishioka
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Billy Harris
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Marat Sharipov
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Rinky Hijikata
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Rio Noguchi
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Philip Sekulic
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Jan-Lennard Struff
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Novak Djokovic
China Open - Beijing · Semifinals
Oct 5
Francisco Cerundolo
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Jan-Lennard Struff
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Pablo Carreno Busta
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Final
Sep 29
Roman Safiullin
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Semifinals
Sep 28
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 62–68 matches
| Metric | Svrcina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 72% |
| Sets won | 54% | 66% |
| Games won | 52% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Svrcina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Svrcina | Medvedev |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |