Cristina Bucsa vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wCristina Bucsa and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2023; Cristina Bucsa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Bucsa leads 2–1. Bucsa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cristina Bucsa won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 13/16 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 10/36 | 38% | 17/45 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 36% | 12/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 2, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Cristina Bucsa and Jasmine Paolini are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 274 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 28, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 8, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 2.18 |
| ROI % | -36.7% | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.20u | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | — |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Bucsa's 17%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Dayana Yastremska | L 46 64 67 | W 75 63 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | L 64 67 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 16 76 26 | L 26 26 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 62 63 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 16 | W 36 64 64 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 16 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anna Bondar
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Panna Udvardy
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Susan Bandecchi
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–45 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 58% |
| Sets won | 48% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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