Cristina Bucsa vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#38 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 4–2
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#33 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
Cristina Bucsa and Jasmine Paolini have met 3 times since 2023; Cristina Bucsa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Bucsa leads 2–1. Bucsa has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 4 sets to Paolini's 2. Their most recent meeting: Cristina Bucsa won at Merida Open Akron - Merida (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 7/21 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 12/41 | 38% | 15/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 8/19 | 33% | 10/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 6/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 78% | 14/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | 56% | 10/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 2, Paolini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
Both Cristina Bucsa and Jasmine Paolini are 🏹 Frontrunner types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 296 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 28, 2026
Merida Open Akron - Merida
H Hard · Semifinals
Jan 8, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 16, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.88 | 1.66 |
| ROI % | +8.1% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 5 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,530 mi · 12,118 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | UKR → ROU | ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Paolini has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Bucsa's 25%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 46 16 | L 26 67 |
| Coco Gauff | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Himeno Sakatsume | W 76 67 76 | W 63 61 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 46 64 67 | W 75 63 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | L 64 67 36 |
| Zeynep Sonmez | L 16 76 26 | L 26 26 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 62 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 16 | L 36 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Xinran Sun
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 18
Sara Bejlek
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 17
Panna Udvardy
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Bianca Andreescu
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Coco Gauff
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 5
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Sara Bejlek
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Sorana Cirstea
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Lucrezia Stefanini
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Veronika Erjavec
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–41 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 51% |
| Sets won | 50% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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