Cristina Bucsa vs Elena RybakinaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Cristina Bucsa
#40 · 28 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇰🇿Elena Rybakina
#2 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
8Cristina Bucsa and Elena Rybakina have met 2 times since 2024; Elena Rybakina leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International - Adelaide in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Rybakina leads 2–0. Rybakina has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Bucsa has taken 0 sets to Rybakina's 4. Their most recent meeting: Elena Rybakina won at Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Bucsa | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristina Bucsa | Elena Rybakina | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 13/16 | 68% | 39/57 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 7/20 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 10/36 | 37% | 26/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 40% | 6/15 | 60% | 37/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 55% | 11/20 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 94% | 46/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 80% | 39/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Bucsa 0, Rybakina 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bucsa
🏹 Frontrunner
Rybakina
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 9, 2024
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open - Abu Dhabi
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 10, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Bucsa | Rybakina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Cristina Bucsa | Elena Rybakina | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 1/5 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 11–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.95 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | -36.7% | +6.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.20u | +0.90u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Bucsa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 8 |
| Distance | 1,715 mi · 2,760 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN → POL → AUT | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rybakina has a higher win rate against shared opponents (56% vs Bucsa's 22%).
| Opponent | Bucsa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Frech | W 61 46 64 | W 64 76 |
| Elise Mertens | L 26 16 | L 67 16 |
| Shuai Zhang | L 62 67 57 | W 63 75 |
| Elina Svitolina | L 46 16 | L 62 46 46 |
| Qinwen Zheng | L 67 26 | W 46 64 63 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 06 16 | L 46 36 |
| Jasmine Paolini | W 75 64 | W 63 62 |
| Victoria Mboko | L 57 76 26 | L 57 64 46 |
| Dayana Yastremska | L 46 64 67 | W 64 67 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Darja Vidmanova
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Anna Bondar
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Maja Chwalinska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Panna Udvardy
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Moyuka Uchijima
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Polina Kudermetova
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Susan Bandecchi
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Shuai Zhang
Internationaux de Strasbourg - Strasbourg · 1st Round
May 19
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Magdalena Frech
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 17
Taylor Townsend
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Coco Gauff
National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals
Aug 13
Naomi Osaka
National Bank Open - Toronto · Quarterfinals
Aug 12
Liudmila Samsonova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 9
Ann Li
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Daria Kasatkina
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–70 matches
| Metric | Bucsa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 81% |
| Sets won | 48% | 73% |
| Games won | 50% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Bucsa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Bucsa | Rybakina |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.