Cristian Garin vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Munich in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Berrettini has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Garin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Garin has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 13/25 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 67% | 10/15 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 55% | 22/40 | 28% | 11/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 36% | 4/11 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 18/24 | 89% | 17/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 13/24 | 79% | 15/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
May 5, 2019
Munich
C Clay · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.85 |
| ROI % | - | +2.9% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Garin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Berrettini's 25%).
| Opponent | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | L 36 76 36 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 62 64 | L 57 25 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 76 75 | W 63 76 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | L 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 62 62 | L 67 76 46 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | L 46 46 | L 36 36 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | W 46 64 61 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 1st Round
May 7
Jan Choinski
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 5
Moez Echargui
Internazionali BNL d'Italia · 1st Round Qualifying
May 4
Nuno Borges
Cagliari Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Mariano Navone
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Grigor Dimitrov
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Arthur Fils
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Stan Wawrinka
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matteo Arnaldi
Roland Garros · Quarterfinals
Jun 3
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
French Open - Paris · 4th Round
Jun 1
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–48 matches
| Metric | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 56% |
| Sets won | 56% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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