Cristian Garin vs Matteo BerrettiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Cristian Garin and Matteo Berrettini have met 3 times since 2019; Matteo Berrettini leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Munich in 2019 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Berrettini has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Garin leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Garin has taken 3 sets to Berrettini's 5. Their most recent meeting: Matteo Berrettini won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garin | Berrettini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Cristian Garin | Matteo Berrettini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 12/21 | 67% | 14/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 69% | 11/16 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 54% | 20/37 | 33% | 13/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 10/22 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 8/12 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 5/11 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 89% | 16/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 12/23 | 78% | 14/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garin 0, Berrettini 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garin
🪃 Counterpuncher
Berrettini
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matteo Berrettini.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
May 7, 2021
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Oct 8, 2019
ATP Masters 1000 Shanghai
H Hard · Round of 32
May 5, 2019
Munich
C Clay · Final
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.70 | 1.82 |
| ROI % | +39.7% | -25.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.19u | -2.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | — | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Garin has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Berrettini's 33%).
| Opponent | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | W 26 62 63 | L 67 16 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 67 46 | W 16 76 64 |
| Mariano Navone | W 76 62 | L 63 36 46 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 62 64 | L |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 76 75 | W 63 76 76 |
| Learner Tien | L 06 62 06 26 | L 75 26 36 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 64 46 57 | L 36 46 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 67 62 62 | L 67 76 46 |
| Tomas Barrios Vera | W 46 64 61 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Toby Samuel
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Elias Ymer
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Spencer Johnson
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Learner Tien
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Henri Squire
Bitpanda Hamburg Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 16
Lautaro Midon
Oeiras 4 Challenger · 1st Round
May 12
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome · 2nd Round
May 9
Brandon Nakashima
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Mariano Navone
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Stan Wawrinka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Jiri Lehecka
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Titouan Droguet
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 39–50 matches
| Metric | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 58% |
| Sets won | 53% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garin | Berrettini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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