Corentin Moutet vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π«π·Corentin Moutet
#62 Β· 27 yrs Β· L
4w2 meetings Β· sets 2β6

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#68 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
23wCorentin Moutet and Sebastian Korda have met 2 times since 2022; Sebastian Korda leads 2β0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 2β0. Korda has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 2 sets to Korda's 6. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at U.S. Open - New York (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 45% | 17/38 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 100% | 7/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 77% | 20/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 62% | 16/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
βοΈ Grinder
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs βοΈ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Korda.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2024
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Jan 19, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2β5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | - |
| ROI % | -37.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | β |
| Events | 1 | β |
| Matches | 2 | β |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | β |
| Route | CAN | β |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (89% vs Moutet's 22%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | L 64 46 57 46 | W 46 63 76 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 75 46 63 36 | W 62 75 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | L 36 46 | L 06 75 57 |
| Casper Ruud | L 57 36 | W 46 62 62 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 16 | W 63 57 64 |
| Tommy Paul | L 64 36 46 | W 64 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 64 | W 63 76 |
| Damir Dzumhur | W 63 60 | W 46 63 63 |
| Valentin Royer | L 36 26 | W 62 57 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos Β· 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca Β· 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart Β· 1st Round
Jun 9
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 39β47 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 64% |
| Sets won | 47% | 61% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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