Corentin Moutet vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 2–0. Baez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 0 sets to Baez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 19% | 5/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 22% | 13/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 63% | 17/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 85% | 29/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 76% | 26/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 0, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 337 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sebastian Baez.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 12, 2021
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 76% | 16/21 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 29% | 6/21 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 10% | 2/21 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/21 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.90 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | +8.8% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | +1.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 9 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,066 mi · 4,934 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → USA → MEX → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moutet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baez's 40%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Learner Tien | L 64 46 46 | L 36 67 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 46 | W 63 76 |
| Marcos Giron | L 64 46 57 46 | W 61 64 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 64 75 | L 16 67 64 62 57 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 67 64 76 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 60 16 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 16 | L 16 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Cancun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 23
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Learner Tien
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Grigor Dimitrov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Zizou Bergs
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–64 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 55% |
| Sets won | 47% | 53% |
| Games won | 49% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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