Corentin Moutet vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Sebastian Baez have met 2 times since 2021; Sebastian Baez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Hamburg European Open - Hamburg in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baez leads 2–0. Baez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 0 sets to Baez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 11/14 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 11/36 | 23% | 14/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 11/18 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 0, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
🎾 All-Court
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
Both Corentin Moutet and Sebastian Baez are 🎾 All-Court types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 142 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2024
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 12, 2021
Hamburg European Open - Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 8–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 2.43 |
| ROI % | -54.5% | -17.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | -2.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Moutet has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baez's 30%).
| Opponent | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Marcos Giron | L 64 46 57 46 | W 16 63 64 |
| Jenson Brooksby | L 46 46 | L 57 57 |
| Jan-Lennard Struff | W 64 75 | L 16 67 64 62 57 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 67 64 76 | W 64 64 36 57 63 |
| Alex Michelsen | W 75 64 | L 57 36 |
| Alexander Bublik | L 36 57 | L 16 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 60 16 64 | L 62 46 16 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 64 | W 64 63 |
| Carlos Alcaraz | L 26 46 16 | L 16 36 |
| Daniil Medvedev | W 76 64 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–65 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 37% | 54% |
| Sets won | 42% | 52% |
| Games won | 48% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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