Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2025; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Musetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 12/15 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 8/22 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 11/37 | 26% | 10/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 11/20 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 68% | 13/19 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 12/19 | 73% | 16/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 0, Musetti 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
🎾 All-Court
Musetti
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2025
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–3 | 6–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | -54.5% | -28.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | -3.16u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Moutet and Musetti posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Sweeny | L 67 46 03 | L 63 16 26 26 |
| Michael Zheng | W | W 61 63 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 16 36 | L 46 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 61 62 | L 57 16 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 63 67 67 | W 63 57 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 67 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 57 36 | L 36 16 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 61 | W 62 64 |
| Tomas Machac | W 60 16 64 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 46 | L 46 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Abedallah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Dane Sweeny
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Arthur Fery
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–43 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 60% |
| Sets won | 43% | 59% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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