Corentin Moutet vs Lorenzo MusettiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Corentin Moutet and Lorenzo Musetti have met 3 times since 2025; Lorenzo Musetti leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Argentina Open - Buenos Aires in 2025 on clay. On clay courts Musetti leads 2–0. Musetti has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Moutet has taken 0 sets to Musetti's 6. Their most recent meeting: Lorenzo Musetti won at Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Moutet | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Corentin Moutet | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 10/24 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 15/43 | 26% | 12/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 13/25 | 59% | 20/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 30% | 3/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 5/10 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 70% | 16/23 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 14/23 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Moutet 0, Musetti 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Moutet
⚙️ Grinder
Musetti
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lorenzo Musetti.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona
C Clay · 2nd Round
Oct 24, 2025
Erste Bank Open - Vienna
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Feb 13, 2025
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Moutet | Musetti | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Corentin Moutet | Lorenzo Musetti | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.24 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -37.9% | -18.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.65u | -1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | CAN | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Moutet and Musetti posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | L 64 16 36 | L 46 36 |
| Marton Fucsovics | W 61 62 | L 57 16 |
| Aleksandar Vukic | L 63 67 67 | W 63 57 63 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | W 67 64 76 | W 64 64 |
| Casper Ruud | L 57 36 | L 36 16 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 64 75 | W 64 75 |
| Alexandre Muller | W 64 61 | W 62 64 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 16 46 | L 16 46 26 |
| Tomas Machac | W 60 16 64 | W 57 64 62 57 62 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | W 76 64 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Marton Fucsovics
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Jenson Brooksby
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Marcos Giron
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Abdullah Shelbayh
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
HSBC Championships - London · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
HSBC Championships - London · 1st Round
Jun 16
Nick Kyrgios
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 9
Frances Tiafoe
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 20
Michael Zheng
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Daniel Altmaier
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rafael Jodar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Nicolas Mejia
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Aleksandar Vukic
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–52 matches
| Metric | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 43% | 65% |
| Sets won | 47% | 62% |
| Games won | 49% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Moutet | Musetti |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
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