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Head-to-Head

Coco Gauff vs Madison KeysPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Coco Gauff

🇺🇸Coco Gauff

#4 · 22 yrs · Right-Handed

6Title
3–3

6 meetings · sets 8–7

Madison Keys

🇺🇸Madison Keys

#23 · 31 yrs · Right-Handed

Coco Gauff and Madison Keys have met 6 times since 2022; they are level 3–3. Their first meeting came at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Gauff leads 2–1. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Gauff has taken 8 sets to Keys's 7. Their most recent meeting: Coco Gauff won at French Open - Paris (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorGauffKeys
Wins in straight sets63%75%
Wins a set when losing69%53%
Goes to a deciding set44%34%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite54%59%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog88%38%
Tiebreak sets won60%45%
Wins after taking set 193%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 177%80%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Gauff 2, Keys 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Gauff

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Keys

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

6 career meetings, newest first

Jun 4, 2025

French Open - Paris

C Clay · Quarterfinals

667
64
61
Gauff

Apr 29, 2024

Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid

C Clay · 4th Round

647
64
46
Keys

Jun 30, 2023

Rothesay International - Eastbourne

G Grass · Semifinals

36
36
Keys

Feb 23, 2023

Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai

H Hard · Quarterfinals

62
75
Gauff

Sep 2, 2022

U.S. Open - New York

H Hard · 3rd Round

62
63
Gauff

Jan 14, 2022

Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide

H Hard · Semifinals

63
26
57
Keys

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeGauffKeys
1 or more100%100%
3 or more77%68%
5 or more41%37%
10 or more18%16%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricGauffKeys
W-L14–313–6
Avg odds1.441.44
ROI %+14.3%-10.3%
Units P/L+2.44u-1.95u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricGauffKeys
Countries22
Events22
Matches106
Distance411 mi · 662 km411 mi · 662 km
RouteCAN → POLCAN → POL

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Gauff has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Keys's 50%).

OpponentGauffKeys
Jessica Pegula
W
62
64
L
67
67
Sara Bejlek
W
64
61
L
63
46
67
Marta Kostyuk
W
62
62
L
36
16
Liudmila Samsonova
W
26
64
61
L
63
46
46
Kayla Day
W
62
75
W
67
64
63
Karolina Muchova
L
26
61
67
W
64
75
Linda Noskova
L
46
61
67
L
46
67
Belinda Bencic
W
46
63
64
W
46
63
62
Amanda Anisimova
L
16
26
W
36
62
63
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
L
16
76
06
W
60
61

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Gauff
WWWWWWLW
W

Jessica Pegula

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final

62
64

Aug 24

W

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals

64
61

Aug 23

W

Marta Kostyuk

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

62
62

Aug 22

W

Marie Bouzkova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

63
62

Aug 20

W

Ann Li

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
763

Aug 18

W

Liudmila Samsonova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

26
64
61

Aug 17

L

Elena Rybakina

National Bank Open - Toronto · Semifinals

75
26
26

Aug 13

W

Alina Korneeva

National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round

63
61

Aug 9

Keys
LWWWLWLL
L

Sara Bejlek

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals

63
46
657

Aug 21

W

Xiyu Wang

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round

763
64

Aug 20

W

Katerina Siniakova

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round

61
63

Aug 18

W

Daria Snigur

Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round

46
63
63

Aug 16

L

Marta Kostyuk

National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round

36
16

Aug 7

W

Antonia Ruzic

National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round

61
62

Aug 4

L

Liudmila Samsonova

Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round

63
46
46

Jul 28

L

Linda Noskova

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

46
627

Jul 6

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Gaufflevel↓ Keys

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–68 matches

MetricGauffKeys
Matches won76%68%
Sets won69%65%
Games won58%56%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageGauffKeys
Grand Slam20
WTA 50001
WTA 25001
WTA 100011

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceGauffKeys
Hard21
Clay11
Grass01

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Coco Gauff vs Madison Keys FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 3–3 over 6 meetings.