Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Sebastian BaezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Chun-Hsin Tseng and Sebastian Baez have met 3 times since 2020; Sebastian Baez leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Sao Paulo Challenger in 2020 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Baez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tseng has taken 2 sets to Baez's 5. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Baez won at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tseng | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Chun-Hsin Tseng | Sebastian Baez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 24/31 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 28% | 8/29 | 22% | 6/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/60 | 23% | 14/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 16/32 | 61% | 17/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 11/21 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 26/32 | 83% | 29/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 24/32 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tseng 0, Baez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tseng
⚔️ The Gladiator
Baez
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 322 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 5, 2026
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 21, 2025
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 24, 2020
Sao Paulo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tseng | Baez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Chun-Hsin Tseng | Sebastian Baez | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 5 or more | 39% | 5/13 | 15% | 3/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tseng | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 2.40 |
| ROI % | -15.6% | -11.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | -2.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tseng | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 1 | 4 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Tseng and Baez posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Tseng | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Molcan | W | W 64 62 |
| Maxim Mrva | L 36 46 | W 64 75 |
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | W 26 76 63 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nicolas Mejia
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Olle Wallin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
Karl Friberg
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Kasidit Samrej
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Fajing Sun
Zhangjiagang Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Yosuke Watanuki
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Tianhui Zhang
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Valentin Vacherot
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Marcos Giron
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Juncheng Shang
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 23
Brandon Nakashima
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Hubert Hurkacz
Cancun Challenger · Final
Aug 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–66 matches
| Metric | Tseng | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 53% |
| Sets won | 52% | 52% |
| Games won | 51% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tseng | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tseng | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
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