Christopher O'Connell vs Sebastian KordaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¦πΊChristopher O'Connell
#117 Β· 32 yrs Β· R
7w33 meetings Β· sets 2β4

πΊπΈSebastian Korda
#74 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
29wChristopher O'Connell and Sebastian Korda have met 3 times since 2020; Sebastian Korda leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Drummondville Challenger in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Korda leads 2β1. Korda has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings O'Connell has taken 2 sets to Korda's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sebastian Korda won at Adelaide International - Adelaide (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | O'Connell | Korda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Christopher O'Connell | Sebastian Korda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 18/24 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 6/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 12/44 | 44% | 14/32 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 10/17 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 13/24 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 19/21 | 78% | 18/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 61% | 14/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (O'Connell 1, Korda 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
O'Connell
π€ Servebot
Korda
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
π€ Servebot vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2024
Adelaide International - Adelaide
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Mar 3, 2020
Indian Wells Challenger
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Feb 21, 2020
Drummondville Challenger
H Hard Β· Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | O'Connell | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β3 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | - |
| ROI % | +26.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +2.41u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Korda has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs O'Connell's 43%).
| Opponent | O'Connell | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Taylor Fritz | L 46 36 | L 76 46 67 |
| Casper Ruud | W | W 46 62 62 |
| Kamil Majchrzak | W 64 76 | W 64 46 75 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | L 36 46 46 | W 64 75 |
| Martin Landaluce | L 26 36 | L 62 67 46 |
| Ugo Humbert | L 46 16 | L 36 46 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 46 76 | W 62 57 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Zsombor Piros
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Stefanos Sakellaridis
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Taylor Fritz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 4th Round
Aug 20
Casper Ruud
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kamil Majchrzak
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Dane Sweeny
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Martin Landaluce
Miami Open - Miami Β· 4th Round
Mar 24
Carlos Alcaraz
Miami Open - Miami Β· 3rd Round
Mar 22
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Miami Open - Miami Β· 2nd Round
Mar 20
Alex de Minaur
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 2nd Round
Mar 7
Francisco Comesana
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells Β· 1st Round
Mar 5
Tommy Paul
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Final
Feb 22
Flavio Cobolli
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Semifinals
Feb 21
Casper Ruud
Delray Beach Open - Delray Beach Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 33β46 matches
| Metric | O'Connell | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 67% |
| Sets won | 52% | 63% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | O'Connell | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | O'Connell | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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