Caty Mcnally vs Karolina MuchovaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Caty Mcnally
#59 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇨🇿Karolina Muchova
#7 · 29 yrs · Right-Handed
Caty Mcnally and Karolina Muchova have met 3 times since 2021; Karolina Muchova leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Muchova leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 3 sets to Muchova's 5. Their most recent meeting: Karolina Muchova won at Wuhan Open - Wuhan (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Karolina Muchova | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 17/31 | 63% | 26/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 52% | 13/25 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 48% | 27/56 | 33% | 18/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 13/36 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 11/17 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 100% | 10/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 25/32 | 97% | 32/33 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 17/32 | 79% | 26/33 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Muchova 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
🏹 Frontrunner
Muchova
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 728 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 14, 2026
Wuhan Open - Wuhan
H Hard · 2nd Round
Oct 6, 2022
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2021
Gippsland Trophy - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Muchova | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Karolina Muchova | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 13% | 2/16 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 6–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.01 | 1.33 |
| ROI % | +4.7% | -16.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.71u | -1.50u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 1,917 mi · 3,085 km | 654 mi · 1,053 km |
| Route | ROU → CZE → SUI | ROU → CZE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Muchova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Mcnally's 30%).
| Opponent | Mcnally | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Sinja Kraus | L | W 63 60 |
| Emma Navarro | L 63 26 36 | L 36 57 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 46 | W 63 64 |
| Alexandra Eala | L 36 75 46 | W 60 62 |
| Linda Noskova | W 76 61 | L 26 75 36 |
| Elena Rybakina | L 16 26 | L 57 16 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | W 64 64 |
| Karolina Pliskova | L 46 67 | W |
| Antonia Ruzic | W 63 60 | W 60 63 |
| Ajla Tomljanovic | L 46 46 | W 46 61 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sinja Kraus
Japan Open - Osaka · 1st Round
Oct 19
Karolina Muchova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round
Oct 12
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Diana Shnaider
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round
Oct 15
Caty Mcnally
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 2nd Round
Oct 14
Nikola Bartunkova
China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals
Oct 8
Naomi Osaka
China Open - Beijing · 4th Round
Oct 6
Liudmila Samsonova
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 4
Katie Boulter
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Katie Boulter
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–56 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 76% |
| Sets won | 54% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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