Caty Mcnally vs Emma NavarroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΈCaty Mcnally
#70 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
4 meetings Β· sets 4β7

πΊπΈEmma Navarro
#27 Β· 25 yrs Β· Right-Handed
5wCaty Mcnally and Emma Navarro have met 4 times since 2023; Emma Navarro leads 3β1. Their first meeting came at BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Navarro leads 3β0. Across all meetings Mcnally has taken 4 sets to Navarro's 7. Their most recent meeting: Emma Navarro won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mcnally | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caty Mcnally | Emma Navarro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 17/30 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 25/54 | 47% | 21/45 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 37% | 13/35 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 63% | 10/16 | 71% | 12/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 73% | 8/11 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 86% | 19/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 17/31 | 64% | 14/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mcnally 0, Navarro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mcnally
πͺ Counterpuncher
Navarro
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The π₯ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs πͺ Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Emma Navarro.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Jun 10, 2026
Libema Open - 's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass Β· 1st Round
Aug 27, 2025
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard Β· 2nd Round
Mar 9, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mcnally | Navarro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Caty Mcnally | Emma Navarro | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 70% | 7/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8β5 | 6β4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.41 |
| ROI % | +8.8% | +21.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.14u | +2.17u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mcnally | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | β |
| Events | 2 | β |
| Matches | 3 | β |
| Distance | 654 mi Β· 1,053 km | β |
| Route | ROU β CZE | β |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Mcnally and Navarro posted a 60% win rate.
| Opponent | Mcnally | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 36 46 | W 64 62 |
| Tatjana Maria | W 46 76 61 | W 75 61 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 36 | L 26 64 16 |
| Elena Gabriela Ruse | W 75 63 | L 46 26 |
| Iga Swiatek | L 16 76 36 | W 75 26 63 |
| Janice Tjen | W 75 67 63 | W 64 63 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | W 75 46 64 | W 64 67 64 |
| Victoria Mboko | W 64 61 | W 60 57 62 |
| Katie Volynets | W 61 62 | L 36 26 |
| Lulu Sun | L 63 36 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lanlana Tararudee
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Yue Yuan
Wuhan Open - Wuhan Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Dayana Yastremska
China Open - Beijing Β· 1st Round
Sep 30
Emma Navarro
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Anouk Koevermans
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Anna Kalinskaya
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Mccartney Kessler
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexandra Eala
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 8
Jessica Pegula
U.S. Open - New York Β· Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Anna Kalinskaya
U.S. Open - New York Β· 4th Round
Sep 7
Karolina Muchova
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round
Sep 4
Caty Mcnally
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round
Sep 2
Lois Boisson
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Aug 31
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round
Aug 18
Anhelina Kalinina
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 45β54 matches
| Metric | Mcnally | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mcnally | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 2 |
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mcnally | Navarro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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