Caroline Garcia vs Jessica PegulaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Caroline Garcia
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
53w3 meetings · sets 4–2
🇺🇸Jessica Pegula
#3 · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
Caroline Garcia and Jessica Pegula have met 3 times since 2021; Caroline Garcia leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Wimbledon - London in 2021 on grass. On hard courts Garcia leads 2–0. Garcia has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Garcia has taken 4 sets to Pegula's 2. Their most recent meeting: Caroline Garcia won at Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati (2022).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garcia | Pegula | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caroline Garcia | Jessica Pegula | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 54% | 31/57 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 47% | 9/19 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 46% | 35/76 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 50% | 30/60 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 63% | 10/16 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 63% | 12/19 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 88% | 42/48 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 65% | 31/48 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garcia 2, Pegula 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garcia
🤖 Servebot
Pegula
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 19, 2022
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jan 11, 2022
Sydney Tennis Classic - Sydney
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 29, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garcia | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 17–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.48 |
| ROI % | - | +10.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.29u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Garcia | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 12 |
| Distance | — | 761 mi · 1,225 km |
| Route | — | AUT → CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karolina Muchova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 10
Sonay Kartal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Bernarda Pera
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Iga Swiatek
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Anna Bondar
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Iga Swiatek
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Bernarda Pera
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Coco Gauff
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Final
Aug 24
Iga Swiatek
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Semifinals
Aug 22
Amanda Anisimova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Sorana Cirstea
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Emma Navarro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Simona Waltert
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Diana Shnaider
National Bank Open - Toronto · 4th Round
Aug 8
Kamilla Rakhimova
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 76–76 matches
| Metric | Garcia | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 75% |
| Sets won | - | 66% |
| Games won | - | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garcia | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garcia | Pegula |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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