Caroline Garcia vs Jasmine PaoliniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇫🇷Caroline Garcia
Unranked · 32 yrs · Right-Handed
53w9 meetings · sets 12–9
🇮🇹Jasmine Paolini
#20 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
8wCaroline Garcia and Jasmine Paolini have met 9 times since 2020; Caroline Garcia leads 5–4. Their first meeting came at U.S. Open - New York in 2020 on hard. On hard courts they are level 3–3. On clay courts Garcia leads 2–1. Paolini has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Garcia has taken 12 sets to Paolini's 9. Their most recent meeting: Jasmine Paolini won at Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Garcia | Paolini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Caroline Garcia | Jasmine Paolini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 54% | 14/26 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 26% | 5/19 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 38% | 17/45 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 36% | 12/33 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 50% | 6/12 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 38% | 3/8 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 81% | 17/21 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 67% | 14/21 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 6 of 9 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Garcia 4, Paolini 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Garcia
🤖 Servebot
Paolini
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
9 career meetings, newest first
Feb 11, 2025
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 28, 2024
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay · 3rd Round
Jan 3, 2024
United Cup - Australia
H Hard · Round Robin
Nov 8, 2023
Billie Jean King Cup, Finals
H Hard · Rubber 2
Oct 11, 2023
Zhengzhou Open - Zhengzhou
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 3, 2023
Open 6 Sens - Lyon
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Jul 30, 2022
BNP Paribas Poland Open - Warsaw
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 12, 2022
Ladies Open Lausanne - Lausanne
C Clay · 1st Round
Aug 31, 2020
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Garcia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.18 |
| ROI % | - | +35.3% |
| Units P/L | - | +2.12u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kamilla Rakhimova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 25
Karolina Muchova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 10
Sonay Kartal
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 8
Bernarda Pera
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 26
Iga Swiatek
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 21
Anna Bondar
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 19
Iga Swiatek
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 2nd Round
Mar 7
Bernarda Pera
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Marta Kostyuk
Wimbledon - London · Quarterfinals
Jul 8
Alexandra Eala
Wimbledon - London · 4th Round
Jul 6
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 4
Viktorija Golubic
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Robin Montgomery
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tatjana Maria
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · 1st Round
Jun 23
Solana Sierra
French Open - Paris · 2nd Round
May 27
Dayana Yastremska
French Open - Paris · 1st Round
May 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–45 matches
| Metric | Garcia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 58% |
| Sets won | - | 53% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Garcia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 1 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 3 | 0 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 2 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Garcia | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 3 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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