Carlos Alcaraz vs Yibing WuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Yibing Wu have met 2 times since 2024; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Wu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Yibing Wu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 88% | 21/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 24% | 4/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 17% | 7/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 52% | 17/33 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 96% | 24/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 84% | 21/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Wu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Wu
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yibing Wu.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 4, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 3rd Round
Oct 6, 2024
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
H Hard · 3rd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Wu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Yibing Wu | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 3.49 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -12.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -1.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Wu's 33%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 46 67 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 60 63 62 | L 36 57 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 76 62 75 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | L 46 75 46 46 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 76 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 63 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Alexander Zverev
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
James Duckworth
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Francisco Comesana
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Jaime Faria
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Mackenzie McDonald
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–49 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 57% |
| Sets won | 78% | 57% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Wu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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