Carlos Alcaraz vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7Title7 meetings ยท sets 14โ2

๐ณ๐ฑTallon Griekspoor
#58 ยท 30 yrs ยท R
3Carlos Alcaraz and Tallon Griekspoor have met 7 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 6โ1. Their first meeting came at Montpellier in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 3โ1. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 6 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 14 sets to Griekspoor's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1 (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 5 of 6 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 5, Griekspoor 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Griekspoor
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
7 career meetings, newest first
Nov 19, 2024
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, NED-ESP 2-1
H Hard ยท Rubber 2
Sep 29, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Jul 29, 2024
Olympics - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Mar 13, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Jun 29, 2022
Wimbledon - London
G Grass ยท 2nd Round
Apr 26, 2021
Estoril
C Clay ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 2, 2021
Montpellier
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ1 | 4โ6 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +0.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | 1,611 mi ยท 2,592 km |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Griekspoor's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | W | L 46 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | W 36 64 63 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 46 75 67 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | L 61 16 67 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | W 67 62 64 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 46 57 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | W 63 76 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 63 57 64 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | W 62 64 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 ยท Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 43% |
| Sets won | 78% | 45% |
| Games won | 59% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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