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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman SafiullinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

20w
1–1

2 meetings · sets 2–2

Roman Safiullin

🇷🇺Roman Safiullin

#98 · 29 yrs · R

Carlos Alcaraz and Roman Safiullin have met 2 times since 2023; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris in 2023 on hard. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 2 sets to Safiullin's 2. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Olympics - Paris (2024).

Upcoming match

Tournament
U.S. Open - New York
Level
Grand Slam
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
August 31 · 1:00 PM ET

Book odds

Roman Safiullin4.62
Carlos Alcaraz1.20

Set spread

Safiullin -1.56.70
Alcaraz +1.51.09

Game spread

Safiullin +61.78
Alcaraz -61.94
SafiullinHard-court specialist (57%)AlcarazHard-court specialist (62%)

Record at prices like this

Roman Safiullin4.6221% fairWon 15%

Priced around 4.62 or longer, Roman Safiullin has won 3 of 20 matches, 15% against a fair-price expectation of 14%.

Carlos Alcaraz1.2079% fairWon 89%

Priced around 1.20 or shorter, Carlos Alcaraz has won 185 of 209 matches, 89% against a fair-price expectation of 87%.

Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.

Carlos Alcaraz and Roman Safiullin meet next at the U.S. Open - New York on August 31 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazSafiullin
Wins in straight sets80%60%
Wins a set when losing33%45%
Goes to a deciding set23%42%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite69%45%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%67%
Tiebreak sets won40%64%
Wins after taking set 195%91%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 191%68%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Safiullin 1).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Safiullin

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

2 career meetings, newest first

Jul 31, 2024

Olympics - Paris

C Clay · 3rd Round

64
62
Alcaraz

Oct 31, 2023

Rolex Paris Masters - Paris

H Hard · 2nd Round

36
46
Safiullin

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazSafiullin
W-L-10–6
Avg odds-2.47
ROI %-+13.7%
Units P/L-+2.19u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazSafiullin
Countries—2
Events—2
Matches—4
Distance—1,107 mi · 1,781 km
Route—MEX → USA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Safiullin's 60%).

OpponentAlcarazSafiullin
Novak Djokovic
W
26
62
63
75
L
67
36
63
36
Joao Fonseca
W
64
64
W
63
63
63
Andrey Rublev
W
76
64
W
64
67
36
63
76
Casper Ruud
W
61
76
L
26
67
75
60
26
Valentin Royer
W
62
75
W
61
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WLWWWWLW
W

Otto Virtanen

Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round

64
62

Apr 14

L

Jannik Sinner

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final

657
36

Apr 12

W

Valentin Vacherot

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals

64
64

Apr 11

W

Alexander Bublik

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals

63
60

Apr 10

W

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round

61
46
63

Apr 9

W

Sebastian Baez

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round

61
63

Apr 7

L

Sebastian Korda

Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round

36
75
46

Mar 22

W

Joao Fonseca

Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round

64
64

Mar 20

Safiullin
LLWWLWWW
L

Hugo Grenier

Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round

667
64
36

Aug 25

L

Hubert Hurkacz

Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals

46
36

Aug 22

W

Stan Wawrinka

Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round

63
64

Aug 21

W

Sebastian Ofner

Cancun Challenger · 1st Round

63
64

Aug 19

L

Novak Djokovic

Wimbledon - London · 4th Round

667
36
63
36

Jul 5

W

Joao Fonseca

Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round

63
63
63

Jul 3

W

Botic van de Zandschulp

Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round

60
46
63
36
765

Jul 1

W

Jerome Kym

Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying

46
7762
36
7866
64

Jun 30

Matchup videos

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ Alcarazlevel↓ Safiullin

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–42 matches

MetricAlcarazSafiullin
Matches won86%69%
Sets won80%61%
Games won59%54%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazSafiullin
Other10
ATP World Tour Masters 100001

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazSafiullin
Hard01
Clay10

Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin FAQ

The head-to-head is level at 1–1 over 2 meetings.