Carlos Alcaraz vs Pedro MartinezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Pedro Martinez have met 4 times since 2019; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Murcia in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Alcaraz leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 8 sets to Martinez's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Martinez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Pedro Martinez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 31% | 11/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 29% | 19/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 86% | 25/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 79% | 23/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 3, Martinez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Martinez
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 7, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Oct 18, 2020
Alicante Challenger
C Clay · Final
Sep 12, 2019
Seville
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 10, 2019
Murcia
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Martinez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Pedro Martinez | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 45% | 9/20 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 14–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +1.57u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | ARG |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Martinez's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | W 63 63 | L 26 62 36 |
| Valentin Royer | W 62 75 | L 46 26 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 67 16 |
| Otto Virtanen | W 64 62 | L 46 61 16 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L 26 46 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | L 36 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Laslo Djere
Villena Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Villena Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Daniel Rincon
Villena Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
August Holmgren
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Eduardo Ribeiro
Buenos Aires Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Genoa Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Laslo Djere
Genoa Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Valerio Aboian
Genoa Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–67 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 46% |
| Sets won | 78% | 47% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Martinez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.