Carlos Alcaraz vs Nikoloz BasilashviliPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
Title2 meetings ยท sets 5โ0

๐ฌ๐ชNikoloz Basilashvili
#95 ยท 34 yrs ยท R
Carlos Alcaraz and Nikoloz Basilashvili have met 2 times since 2021; Carlos Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Their first meeting came at French Open - Paris in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Basilashvili's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid (2022).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Erste Bank Open - Vienna
- Level
- ATP 500
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 29 ยท 10:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.10 or shorter, Carlos Alcaraz has won 148 of 159 (93%). That is level with the 92% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Carlos Alcaraz meets Nikoloz Basilashvili in the second round of the Erste Bank Open in Vienna on October 29, 2026, on hard court. Alcaraz arrives ranked third; Basilashvili sits at 95th and has already dispatched his opening opponent.
Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 2-0 in two completed meetings. Both players carry identical recent form into this round: each has won four of his last five matches and eight of his last ten. Basilashvili has played eight matches in the past two weeks and won his first match here yesterday, while Alcaraz took more than a week away before playing his opener just two days ago.
Alcaraz operates across all zones, with reliable baseline depth and frequent net presence; he has won 80% of hard court matches in recent play. Basilashvili builds points around his first serve as his primary offensive weapon and has compiled a 70% hard court record recently. Basilashvili must land his serve with consistency to dictate points early; Alcaraz needs time to establish himself from the baseline and work into the rally.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 19/26 | 72% | 26/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 28% | 8/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 8/31 | 28% | 18/65 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 19/29 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 67% | 22/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 48% | 14/29 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 22/22 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 68% | 26/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Basilashvili 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Basilashvili
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,681 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 3, 2022
Mutua Madrid Open - Madrid
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Jun 3, 2021
French Open - Paris
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Basilashvili | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Nikoloz Basilashvili | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 100% | 19/19 |
| 5 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 79% | 15/19 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 47% | 9/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12โ2 | 14โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -2.1% | +36.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.29u | +6.86u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 3 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 8 | 11 |
| Distance | 6,359 mi ยท 10,234 km | 5,418 mi ยท 8,719 km |
| Route | JPN โ CHN โ AUT | CHN โ KAZ โ AUT |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Basilashvili's 29%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Daniil Medvedev | L 36 67 | L 76 16 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 64 76 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | W 64 67 63 |
| Jaime Faria | W 46 60 63 62 | L 46 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 57 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | L 63 67 26 |
| Corentin Moutet | W 62 64 61 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Karen Khachanov
Erste Bank Open - Vienna ยท 1st Round
Oct 27
Zizou Bergs
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Jurij Rodionov
Erste Bank Open - Vienna ยท 1st Round
Oct 28
Daniil Medvedev
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท Final
Oct 25
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท Semifinals
Oct 24
Adrian Mannarino
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 23
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท 2nd Round
Oct 21
Marin Cilic
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท 1st Round
Oct 19
Adam Walton
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Taro Daniel
Almaty Open - Almaty ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 43โ65 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 55% |
| Sets won | 79% | 54% |
| Games won | 59% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Basilashvili |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |