Carlos Alcaraz vs Nicolas JarryPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Nicolas Jarry have met 4 times since 2023; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro in 2023 on clay. On clay courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Jarry's 4. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Rolex Paris Masters - Paris (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Jarry | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Nicolas Jarry | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 50% | 2/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Jarry 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Jarry
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Oct 29, 2024
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris
H Hard · 2nd Round
Feb 17, 2024
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay · Semifinals
Jul 8, 2023
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 3rd Round
Feb 25, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | - |
| ROI % | +4.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jarry's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Jaime Faria | W 46 60 63 62 | L 67 76 36 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Elmer Moller
Oeiras 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jurij Rodionov
Madrid Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 11
Nerman Fatic
Madrid Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Dominic Stricker
Madrid Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Miguel Damas
Madrid Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Mattia Bellucci
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 16
Adam Walton
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 10
Francesco Maestrelli
BNP Paribas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 12–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 25% |
| Sets won | 78% | 34% |
| Games won | 59% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 1 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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