Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Joao Fonseca have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 2 sets to Fonseca's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Fonseca 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Joao Fonseca.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Fonseca's 60%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | W 57 63 61 | W 76 75 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W | W 57 64 63 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | L 36 67 |
| Tommy Paul | W 64 63 64 | W 62 63 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 64 64 64 | L 36 36 36 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 76 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 26 26 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 63% |
| Sets won | 78% | 60% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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