Carlos Alcaraz vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Joao Fonseca have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1–0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 2 sets to Fonseca's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Miami Open - Miami (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Fonseca 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 20, 2026
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.47 |
| ROI % | - | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Fonseca's 63%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 76 63 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 26 26 |
| Novak Djokovic | W 26 62 63 75 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | W 63 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 67 36 | L 67 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | L 57 76 36 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | W 62 63 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 67 64 63 | W 46 76 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 63% |
| Sets won | 80% | 61% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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