Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaime FariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7Title1 meeting ยท sets 3โ1

๐ต๐นJaime Faria
#60 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
Carlos Alcaraz and Jaime Faria have met 1 time since 2026; Carlos Alcaraz leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 3 sets to Faria's 1. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Faria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Jaime Faria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 60% | 27/45 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 44% | 32/72 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 78% | 35/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 60% | 27/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Faria
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 3, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Faria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Jaime Faria | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ1 | 11โ9 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 2.42 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +10.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +2.07u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 7 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | 2,283 mi ยท 3,674 km |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | CHN โ JPN โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Faria's 50%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Jaume Munar | W 57 63 61 | L 16 16 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W | W 64 75 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 76 16 36 61 67 | W 64 64 |
| Yibing Wu | W 63 64 61 | W 63 75 |
| Roman Safiullin | W 64 64 64 | L 64 46 67 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 57 26 |
| Adam Walton | W 63 76 62 | W 46 64 76 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | L 76 46 26 |
| Grigor Dimitrov | W 62 63 | W 36 75 76 |
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | W 61 46 63 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Arthur Gea
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 2
Arthur Fery
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Shintaro Mochizuki
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 2nd Round
Sep 25
Terence Atmane
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou ยท 1st Round
Sep 24
Carlos Alcaraz
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ82 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 62% |
| Sets won | 78% | 59% |
| Games won | 59% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Faria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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