Carlos Alcaraz vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
20w4 meetings ยท sets 8โ3

๐ต๐ฑHubert Hurkacz
#46 ยท 29 yrs ยท R
4TitleCarlos Alcaraz and Hubert Hurkacz have met 4 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4โ0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 8 sets to Hurkacz's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Hurkacz | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Hubert Hurkacz | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 53% | 8/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 44% | 15/34 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 80% | 8/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 55% | 12/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Hurkacz 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Hurkacz
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
๐ The Complete Package vs ๐ค Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 616 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2025
ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 19, 2023
Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Aug 11, 2023
National Bank Open - Toronto
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Apr 1, 2022
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 11โ4 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.52 |
| ROI % | - | +11.4% |
| Units P/L | - | +1.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 9 |
| Distance | โ | 1,959 mi ยท 3,153 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ USA โ MEX |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Hurkacz's 40%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Baez | W 61 63 | W 46 60 63 |
| Tommy Paul | W 76 64 75 | L 46 76 36 |
| Casper Ruud | W 61 76 | W 64 62 76 |
| Andrey Rublev | W 76 64 | W 63 62 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 76 67 26 |
| Lorenzo Musetti | W 64 61 | L 46 67 |
| Valentin Vacherot | W 64 64 | L 76 36 46 |
| Alexander Bublik | W 63 60 | L 76 67 57 |
| Alexander Zverev | W 64 76 67 67 75 | W 63 64 |
| Alex de Minaur | W 75 62 61 | L 46 64 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona ยท 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami ยท 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami ยท 2nd Round
Mar 20
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger ยท Final
Aug 24
Moez Echargui
Cancun Challenger ยท Semifinals
Aug 23
Roman Safiullin
Cancun Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Aug 22
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Tommy Paul
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 16
Sho Shimabukuro
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 14
Botic van de Zandschulp
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alejandro Tabilo
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 57% |
| Sets won | 80% | 57% |
| Games won | 59% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour Masters 1000 | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 4 | 0 |
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