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Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz vs Hubert HurkaczPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

🇪🇸Carlos Alcaraz

#3 · 23 yrs · R

7Title
4–0

4 meetings · sets 8–3

Hubert Hurkacz

🇵🇱Hubert Hurkacz

#34 · 29 yrs · R

3

Carlos Alcaraz and Hubert Hurkacz have met 4 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at Miami Open - Miami in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 4–0. Alcaraz has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 8 sets to Hurkacz's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam (2025).

Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

IndicatorAlcarazHurkacz
Wins in straight sets72%59%
Wins a set when losing40%50%
Goes to a deciding set30%44%
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite64%38%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog0%85%
Tiebreak sets won54%55%
Wins after taking set 195%79%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 182%59%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Hurkacz 0).

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Alcaraz

👑 The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer
vs

Hurkacz

🤖 Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve

Matchup analysis

👑 The Complete Package vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

4 career meetings, newest first

Feb 8, 2025

ABN AMRO Open - Rotterdam

H Hard · Semifinals

64
657
63
Alcaraz

Aug 19, 2023

Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati

H Hard · Semifinals

26
764
63
Alcaraz

Aug 11, 2023

National Bank Open - Toronto

H Hard · 3rd Round

36
762
763
Alcaraz

Apr 1, 2022

Miami Open - Miami

H Hard · Semifinals

765
762
Alcaraz

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

OutcomeAlcarazHurkacz
1 or more92%100%
3 or more75%100%
5 or more25%100%
10 or more0%83%
15 or more0%26%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

MetricAlcarazHurkacz
W-L11–118–5
Avg odds1.151.66
ROI %+4.3%+21.1%
Units P/L+0.51u+4.85u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAlcarazHurkacz
Countries31
Events33
Matches712
Distance7,032 mi · 11,317 km1,611 mi · 2,592 km
RouteGBR → JPN → CHNCHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (90% vs Hurkacz's 60%).

OpponentAlcarazHurkacz
Novak Djokovic
W
26
62
63
75
W
64
63
Jaume Munar
W
57
63
61
W
63
63
26
63
Alex de Minaur
W
75
62
61
L
Denis Shapovalov
W
W
67
63
63
Karen Khachanov
W
67
64
63
W
76
62
Matteo Arnaldi
W
76
61
L
46
46
Taylor Fritz
W
63
46
1311
W
76
76
Ben Shelton
L
76
16
36
61
67
L
36
75
67
57
Tommy Paul
W
64
63
64
L
46
76
36
Jaime Faria
W
46
60
63
62
W
63
63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Alcaraz
WWWWWWWL
W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

63
63

Oct 10

W

Jiri Lehecka

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final

764
64

Oct 6

W

Jaume Munar

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals

57
63
61

Oct 5

W

Denis Shapovalov

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals

Oct 4

W

Matteo Arnaldi

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round

766
61

Oct 3

W

Alex Michelsen

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round

761
46
61

Oct 1

W

Taylor Fritz

Laver Cup - London · Round Robin

63
46
1311

Sep 26

L

Ben Shelton

U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals

765
16
36
61
67

Sep 9

Hurkacz
WWWLWWWL
W

Yi Zhou

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round

62
36
63

Oct 11

W

Novak Djokovic

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round

64
63

Oct 9

W

James Duckworth

Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round

63
764

Oct 8

L

Alex de Minaur

China Open - Beijing · Semifinals

Oct 5

W

Karen Khachanov

China Open - Beijing · Quarterfinals

762
62

Oct 4

W

Arthur Gea

China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round

765
657
62

Oct 2

W

Learner Tien

China Open - Beijing · 1st Round

57
63
64

Oct 1

L

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Final

46
677

Sep 29

Rivalry momentum

Cumulative head-to-head lead over time

↑ AlcarazAlcaraz ahead↓ Hurkacz

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–55 matches

MetricAlcarazHurkacz
Matches won86%64%
Sets won78%60%
Games won59%53%

Record by tier

Head-to-head record by tournament tier

StageAlcarazHurkacz
ATP 50010
ATP Masters 100030

By surface

Head-to-head record per surface

SurfaceAlcarazHurkacz
Hard40

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Carlos Alcaraz vs Hubert Hurkacz FAQ

Carlos Alcaraz leads the head-to-head 4–0 over 4 meetings.