Carlos Alcaraz vs Fabio FogniniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and Fabio Fognini have met 3 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro in 2022 on clay. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 2–0. Alcaraz has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 7 sets to Fognini's 3. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Wimbledon - London (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Fognini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Fabio Fognini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Fognini 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Fognini
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Carlos Alcaraz.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 30, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 23, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 19, 2022
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | - |
| ROI % | +4.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | — |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Jamie Mackenzie
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Carlos Alcaraz
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Daniel Altmaier
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 1st Round
Jun 22
Arthur Fery
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Corentin Moutet
Boss Open - Stuttgart · 1st Round
Jun 10
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 19
Bu Yunchaokete
Turin Challenger · 2nd Round
May 15
Oleg Prihodko
Turin Challenger · 1st Round
May 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 1–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 0% |
| Sets won | 78% | 0% |
| Games won | 59% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Fognini |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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