Carlos Alcaraz vs Dusan LajovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธCarlos Alcaraz
#3 ยท 23 yrs ยท R
7Title5 meetings ยท sets 11โ0

๐ท๐ธDusan Lajovic
#148 ยท 36 yrs ยท R
4wCarlos Alcaraz and Dusan Lajovic have met 5 times since 2022; Carlos Alcaraz leads 5โ0. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On clay courts Alcaraz leads 3โ0. On hard courts Alcaraz leads 2โ0. Alcaraz has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 11 sets to Lajovic's 0. Their most recent meeting: Carlos Alcaraz won at Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Lajovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | Dusan Lajovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 50% | 13/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 68% | 19/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 83% | 25/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 67% | 20/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 4, Lajovic 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
๐ The Complete Package
Lajovic
๐ฏ Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฏ Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ The Complete Package across 380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Dusan Lajovic.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
May 9, 2025
Internazionali BNL d'Italia - Rome
C Clay ยท 2nd Round
Mar 26, 2023
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard ยท 3rd Round
Feb 24, 2023
Rio Open - Rio de Janeiro
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Feb 17, 2023
Argentina Open - Buenos Aires
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Jan 19, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Alcaraz | Lajovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Carlos Alcaraz | Dusan Lajovic | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11โ1 | 10โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 1.87 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | +16.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | +2.51u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 1 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi ยท 11,317 km | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | GBR โ JPN โ CHN | POL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Lajovic's 25%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Arnaldi | W 76 61 | W 60 36 64 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 63 46 1311 | L 36 46 36 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 36 26 |
| Yannick Hanfmann | W 76 63 62 | L 06 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo ยท 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London ยท Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 15
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Seville Challenger ยท Final
Sep 13
Max Alcala Gurri
Seville Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 12
Henrique Rocha
Seville Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Calvin Hemery
Seville Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Martin Landaluce
Seville Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Chak Pong Marco Lam
U.S. Open - New York ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
David Jorda Sanchis
U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 42โ58 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 50% |
| Sets won | 78% | 50% |
| Games won | 59% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
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