Carlos Alcaraz vs David GoffinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and David Goffin have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Goffin leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Goffin's 5. Their most recent meeting: David Goffin won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Goffin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | David Goffin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 80% | 20/25 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 7/31 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 20/29 | 14% | 1/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 4/10 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 91% | 20/22 | 56% | 5/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Goffin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 532 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 21, 2023
Hopman Cup - Nice
C Clay · Round Robin
Oct 4, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 3, 2021
Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 1.68 |
| ROI % | - | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Alcaraz has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Goffin's 0%).
| Opponent | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 67 63 62 | L 46 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Otto Virtanen
Barcelona Open Banc Sabadell - Barcelona · 1st Round
Apr 14
Jannik Sinner
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Final
Apr 12
Valentin Vacherot
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Semifinals
Apr 11
Alexander Bublik
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · Quarterfinals
Apr 10
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 3rd Round
Apr 9
Sebastian Baez
Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters - Monte-Carlo · 2nd Round
Apr 7
Sebastian Korda
Miami Open - Miami · 3rd Round
Mar 22
Joao Fonseca
Miami Open - Miami · 2nd Round
Mar 20
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Ignacio Buse
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 4
Roberto Bautista Agut
Cap Cana Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 11
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 22–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 36% |
| Sets won | 80% | 43% |
| Games won | 59% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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