Carlos Alcaraz vs David GoffinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Carlos Alcaraz and David Goffin have met 4 times since 2021; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne in 2021 on hard. On hard courts Goffin leads 2–1. Across all meetings Alcaraz has taken 5 sets to Goffin's 5. Their most recent meeting: David Goffin won at Miami Open - Miami (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Alcaraz | Goffin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Carlos Alcaraz | David Goffin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 75% | 3/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 38% | 5/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 9/30 | 35% | 6/17 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 64% | 18/28 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 0% | 0/2 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 7/13 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 95% | 21/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 82% | 18/22 | 50% | 3/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Alcaraz 1, Goffin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Alcaraz
👑 The Complete Package
Goffin
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward David Goffin.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Mar 21, 2025
Miami Open - Miami
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 21, 2023
Hopman Cup - Nice
C Clay · Round Robin
Oct 4, 2022
Astana Open - Astana
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 3, 2021
Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–1 | 0–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.15 | 3.54 |
| ROI % | +4.3% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.51u | -2.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km | 461 mi · 742 km |
| Route | GBR → JPN → CHN | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Final
Oct 6
Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Semifinals
Oct 5
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Oct 4
Matteo Arnaldi
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Alex Michelsen
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Taylor Fritz
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 26
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · Quarterfinals
Sep 9
Clement Chidekh
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Mark Lajal
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Andrea Guerrieri
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Toby Samuel
Roland Garros · 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Roland Garros · 1st Round Qualifying
May 18
Thomas Faurel
Aix En Provence Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 29
Emilio Nava
BMW Open by Bitpanda · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 11
Emilio Nava
Rolex Monte-Carlo Masters · 2nd Round Qualifying
Apr 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–42 matches
| Metric | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 86% | 24% |
| Sets won | 78% | 33% |
| Games won | 59% | 44% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Alcaraz | Goffin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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